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If the rise of Islam failed Europe would be still feudal(crusades were the first domino against feudalism because Europe learned of spices and coffee) and China might have led the world into modernization as without Arab merchants, the mainland silk road, which was controlled more directly by China than sea route, would have remained important. Due to China being generally peaceful and having a large internal market, Imperialism would never exist apart from the Kongsi states and a possible somewhat small state in north america and Australia, but all of that assumes that the later Dynasties of China were able to curb the mongols and jurchins with that extra wealth.