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CS:GO Understanding The Elo Rating

Por BBQ csgoskins e 1 colaborador(es)

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23/dez./2021 às 0:07

23/dez./2021 às 0:10

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Understanding Elo

Why is Valve using an Elo Rating System in CS:GO?

How does CS:GO calculates the Elo and the Ranks?

CS:GO Ranks and Tiers

Factors for Ranking up and Down in CS:GO

How Fast can you Rank Up and Down in CS:GO?

Comentários

Understanding Elo

What is Elo in CS:GO?

Elo means, to evaluate the player’s skill due to his performance in the game. In most of PvP Online Games different Elo’s are used in the back. The Elo-System was originally defined in chess.

What is Glicko-2?
Maybe you already heard of Glicko-2 before?

Glicko-2 is a rating system that is used in CS:GO, just like the Elo from chess but it goes deeper and adds two more variables:

The RD variable:
The ratings deviation defines how much a player moves away from his actual rank. The more you play the more precise the RD value gets and it gets lower. If you don’t play a long time the RD increases.

The RV variable:
The rating volatility (RV) defines how constantly a player is. A more constant play means a lower RV.
This means Valve is not just taking the standard values, they add more numbers and attributes to the calculation to be more accurate. Of course, the Glicko-2 Elo system is just the base and Valve adapted more things, Counterstrike Global Offensive is a complex game with a lot of aspects to consider.

Most of these calculations are Valve’s secret and we can just assume things that have a high probability, based on our own experience and opinions from pro players.

What does Valve say about the Elo?

Valve is taking care which information they give out to the players, to prevent them from abusing the system.

Quote from the CS:GO Game Developer Vitaliy Genkin:
“For competitive, we built a CS:GO specific competitive ranking system that is significantly different and more complex than Elo. The CS:GO competitive ranking system started with ideas based on the Glicko-2 rating model and improved over time to better fit the CS:GO player base.
All computations are performed on our matchmaking backend and multiple matchmaking parameters describing a scientific set of rating variables of a player are represented to players as their Skill Group. You should be able to find papers on rating systems involving rating volatility and rating deviations online to get a better idea about why our complex competitive matchmaking parameters cannot be represented as a single numeric value.”

Let’s see what we can get out of it to get a better understanding of how it works.

The big challenge for Valve:
CSGO GabenValve wants to keep away players from the objective to “just play for the uprank”. Because then, players just focus on how to win and disregard teamplay and of course to just have fun.

Also, they prevent the community from CS:GO boosting, where higher players try to get worse players up to higher ranks fast. This is a real problem in every matchmaking system because it dislocates the real rank and Elo basis of a player.

But hey – of course we want to know how we can rank up fast, as this is our main showcase to represent ourselves in CS:GO – so let’s analyze! 😉

Why is Valve using an Elo Rating System in CS:GO?

The Elo ranking is creating fair and balanced games because you get queued against players with the same skill level. This creates a high-quality game, where both teams have the chance to win the game.
Through a matchmaking rank, players can see better progress, otherwise, they won’t know if they do good or bad.
The ranks create competition inside the community, so that everyone can strive to get better.
Ranks are perfect to compare yourself with others and to play with friends who got the same skill.
The CS:GO ranks keep the audience inside the game: It’s a lot of work to get a high rank and to increase the rank, therefore players are likely to play more often.

How does CS:GO calculates the Elo and the Ranks?

Okay, now we know the basics about Elo and Glicko-2, but how does the Elo Algorithmn works for CS:GO? Let’s combine everything we know!

Warning: The following part is very mathematical – only for cracks! 😀

What does Elo and Glicko-2 really do for CS:GO?

Elo does not really measures your skill level, it’s just a calculation that will be used in the back.

Elo measures odds, like in sports betting: The Elo system wants to understand the “player’s chances” of winning against the other team.

While two players with the same Elo rating would have a 50/50 chance of winning the match, for players with more or less Elo points the odds would favor one specific side, for example 70/30. Like with odds, there is no guaranteed winner, it’s just an estimation.

How the Elo rating estimates fair games:
As you can imagine a matchmaking system is interested in giving players a good time, so that one side is not favored extremely. For this, a matchmaking system can use the Elo ratings.

When the odds increase for you, the system gives you a higher rank to reach 50/50 chances again.

An average player would win as many games as he loses and that would hit the exact middle of a matchmaking system.

If you lose more than you win, you will land below Gold Nova 2, if you win more than you lose, you will be at least Gold Nova 3. As soon as a plateu is reached, where an ongoing performance will be about 50/50, then a skill is defined somewhat accurately. When this platue is reached, players are often stuck on their rank for a long time.

Soft and Hard Factors that Manipulate the CS:GO Rankings:

On top of that comes, that this is not exactly transferable to the real outcome:
In reality, you could win 20 CS:GO games and lose 10 without an up-rank. This is why so many people go mad on the CS:GO Elo rating.
But it is important to see the Elo plus Glicko-2 just as the base calculation. On top you can count all soft and hard factors, that Valve is possible to get out of a match.

In chapter 4 I made a list of all factors that affect you’re up and de-rank in CS:GO.

Before going on, keep the following in mind:
Elo and Glicko-2 do not rate the skill, they rate the “odds” for teams like in betting. When a game is won or lost it mainly depends on the odds, how the Elo rating will change.

By knowing this let’s deal with the following questions:

Assuming that the Elo rating is existent, are we really able to judge about it correctly?
What is really working to rankup? How should you behave?
Are 18 ranks enough if the Elo can have such a different value?
Let’s put some light on to these questions…

What is the Connection

between Elo and CS:GO Ranks?

It’s important to understand the connection of the CS:GO ranks and the Elo rating behind it:

CS:GO RANKS: CS:GO ranks are that what you visually see in your profile. It is a fixed value until you get a new rank. That’s it. You can find all ranks explained below.

CS:GO ELO: The CS:GO Elo is a hidden value “behind” the CS:GO rank, which can deviate strongly from the actual rank. Your latest performance will be calculated through the CS:GO Elo until it has enough impact to lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the CS:GO rank. Players with a totally different rank can be queued against each other and if the Glicko-2 variables RD and RV are high players can even jump multiple ranks at once.

CS:GO Ranks and Tiers

The CS:GO Ranks Explained:

The CS:GO rank is what we get in the end, this is what we see ourself and what others see. The rank ultimately classifies you as a player inside the CS:GO community, for some it can mean nothing for some it’s everything.

What about you? When talking about Elo, our main interest is in finding out how we can get a better rank, by understanding the matchmaking and doing the right things. Achieving a higher rank is worth and fun to do.

What are CS:GO Tiers?

CS:GO tiers are 5 groups, players get seperated into. Instead of saying Silver I, Silver Elite Master and so on, it’s easier to just say Silver. These CS:GO tiers work like leagues or stages that represent a different level of skill.

The CS:GO tiers are Silver’s, Nova’s, MG’s and DMG’s, Eagles and Supremes and Globals.

What is the Rank
Distribution in CS:GO?

It’s interesting to check how many players have which rank. Like mentioned before the average rank in CS:GO is Gold Nova 2. Players with the Gold Nova 1 rank or lower, belong to the lowest 50% players and Gold Nova 3 and higher players, belong to the upper 50%.
That’s just a general estimation and will always change a bit over time, based on user behaviour – or due to Elo alogorithmn changes. 😉

In total there are 18 CS:GO ranks. The 18 ranks can be summed up into 4 tiers of player types (Silvers, Novas, MGs and the Elite).
32% of all players are Silvers, 35% are Novas, 20% are MGs and 13% belong to the Elite.
Reaching Gold Nova 3 already means to be better than average. Trough the playstyle and tactics players can increase their rank a lot!

Factors for Ranking up and Down in CS:GO

Ok, now let’s list all of the aspects CS:GO can identify in a ranked match to value a player’s performance.

Analyze and reflect yourself to add more flexibility and versatility!

What does count and what not?

How important are Placement Matches in CS:GO for the Rank?

Placement matches are important, it is much harder to change the rank later, than defining it early in the CS GO placement matches. Try to reach the highest first rank that you can get!
The 3-4 first placement matches are the most important, they show the system in which tier you should play.
Making only few kills is bad, you will get a better first rank, when making a lot of kills/MVP stars.
Many people start ranked too early, better train before you jump directly into placement matches.

What are the Factors to Rank Up and Down in CS:GO?

Basic Factors to Rank up in CS:GO:
People rank up and down in situations they don’t know why or often it is just not consistent or reproducible:

FACT 1: You can rank up with a win or a draw.
FACT 2: You can rank down with a defeat or a draw.
FACT 3: You can rank up and down multiple ranks at once, if you win vs higher ranked enemies.
Some People in the forums told they even ranked down with a win – if this is true the chance is of course really low and this should not happen to you! 😉 But let’s go deeper!

What counts in CS:GO Matchmaking?

Amount of won and lost Rounds (Highest Impact).
Win the game.
MVP-Stars Count (Most Valuable Player of a round).
Getting kicked (very bad).
KDA Count (kill / death / assist).
Placement in the team (Position 1-5).
Winstreaks / Losestreaks.
Time of beeing offline (decay).
Leaving a game.
Shooting accuracy.

Most important Factors to Rank Up in CS:GO:

Win games with a high amount of won rounds (Example: 16-0 is GOOD, 16-14 is BAD)
MVP-Ratio (defuse bombs, Get the most kills, get more stars)
Learn! The worst thing you can do is, to stay on your level.
Learn through

Not so important Ranking Factors – but it can help:
KDA-Ratio (Example: 30-4-4 is GOOD, 10-25-0 is BAD)
Placement (Beeing on position 1 is not too important, but this brings a better KDA, MVP and Win-Rate anyway so this should be your goal)

What happens to my CS:GO Rank if I leave or get kicked?

What is the effect of surrendering to my CS:GO Elo points?

Surrendering is quite good if you are leading. At the exact time of when you quit, CS:GO is calculating the new rank update based on the won rounds, kills and MVPs of the match. This means sometimes it could be the best thing to just leave the game. Example: There is a troll player that tells you he will go afk on purpose or ruin the game. Or 1 or 2 others players are out. If you are leading, you could surrender and take the positive Elo points. It’s just my estimation, do it on your own risk.

What happens to my CS:GO Rank on Tie or Draw?
A tie or draw means that both teams won the same amount of rounds: The won rounds are the most important thing and since the difference is zero, there is not much impact. The only impact gives the number of kills, MVPs, and other stuff. You can get a promotion or demotion with a draw!

The CS:GO player RetriButioN posted his theories about the Elo system and claimed that only MPV’s count.
CS:GO Matchmaking is just based on a round-by-round basis, with a redetermined expected winner, which is safe. This theory could explain why it is possible to de-rank after a won match. But: Valve dispelled that claim, that this is the case, there are definitely more factors. I agree with that.

How Fast can you Rank Up and Down in CS:GO?

Ranking up and down is not limited to time!

Calibrating a new CS:GO account will need about a week.
To move one rank up try to play about 10 matches, it will most likely give a result if you are not stuck on your level.
If you want to reach global elite, it depends on your starting rank. A normal human being will need a learning curve with over 150 games, which will probably need at least 2 months. In a non-optimal case, you would need longer anyway. Players who have been global before, will be able to reach it fast again, but it will most likely take about 50 games minimum to reach that.
How many Games does it take to Rank Up in CS:GO?
It can take 2-10 games or even longer, the bigger the difference (kills, won rounds, MVPs) the faster you rank up. Against stronger enemies with a higher Elo, it will be much faster. If you are better than your rank, it can help to play with friends with a higher rank. A low ranked player can have a bad impact on the higher-ranked player: He will probably climb up slower.

Opinion about the CS:GO Elo: Is the Ranking System Working?

Is the CS GO Elo matchmaking system good – does it work?

Definetely yes.

Most of us love the CS:GO Matchmaking and the Elo system behind it. It makes so much fun to try to rank higher and higher. And it’s also big fun to bully friends who fail and rank down! 😀

In my opinion when taking a look on to the steam friendslist, then we all can see:
Yes, most guys have a rank that totally fits them!
What about you?
What’s your opinion about the CS:GO Elo, do you feel like what you do in CS:GO pays off?

Do you disagree with any given information? Ever experienced weird things in the CS:GO matchmaking? Let us know!

I did some research for this, I hope you enjoyed the article!

And never forget the following! 😉

218 comentário(s)

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Skow 26/dez./2022 às 9:19

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Nev3rMore;5 22/mai./2022 às 6:52

Well written article. However i really doubt that gold nova is average anymore, it probably wasnt the average even in 2014. Moreover, its true you can rank down in a win which i think is totally a crappy scenario. The easiest way to rank up is to play with someone that is in higher rank than you and win a couple of games. The main problem with "elo matchmaking" is that every rank appears to not have a specific elo required to achieve it. Years ago i had 10 wins in a row without rankup on solo Q which is an absurd scenario. It seems to me Glicko-2's randomness does more harm than good. The game should always priotise to give u 50-50 chance based on ur current rank. All these other variables are totally worthless.

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yoł yól c-rp 30/dez./2021 às 7:07

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