CS:GO Betting Advice: Get The Skins You've Always Wanted

Hello everyone, I have found a comment on reddit that I think perfectly explains in detail my opinions on this match. So with that, I will leave the exact comment he left. This is in no way my own prediction.

HIS COMMENT:

Hello ladies, gentlemen and everyone else :P This is a BO3 matchup between Hellraisers and MouseSports! The match is part of the Acer Predator Masters powered by Intel. The current ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ odds are at 30-70 in favor of MouseSports, however there is still 15 hours to go until the match begins so this could change quite dramatically. The maps for this BO3 are not yet announced as they are usually veto'd just before the match kicks off :) Both of these teams are expected to lineup in their full rosters, those being as follows:
Hellraisers: Dosia, Adren, Mou, Angel and Kucher
MouseSports: ChrisJ, Nex, Gob B, Spiidi and Denis
These two teams have met eachother a total of 8 times, spreading across 12 maps, Mouz winning 58% of those matchups. The most recent 3 matches between these two have ended in the following results:
Mirage - HellRaisers 8:16 Mousesports | Cache - HellRaisers 3:16 Mousesports - July 1st
Train - HellRaisers 16:11 Mousesports | Cache - HellRaisers 6:16 Mousesports - June 14th
Dust2 - Mousesports 16:11 HellRaisers | Train - Mousesports 16:12 HellRaisers - June 2nd
So the thing about these two teams is, even tho Mouz clearly has been coming out victorious vs Hellraisers the past few times these two have met eachother, I think they are pretty closely matched. Picking a winner between these two is tough because even tho Mouz currently are on better form, skill wise I would rate them pretty closely. Without a doubt either can beat eachother on any given day, and therefor I do not agree with 70-30 odds at all as to me, it really is a 60-40 in favor of Mouz, only due to their recent form. However due to each teams inconsistencies, it is really hard to make anyone a favourite here.
MouseSports

So Mouz has recently been bootcamping which hopefully has improved them as a team, as they are definitely still reletively new as a team, exchanging I believe 3 players with Penta. I definitely believe that Mouz is the best German team as of now, and infact one of the better Tier 2 teams as of right now. Their two star players without a doubt are Nex and ChrisJ, some even going as far as saying Nex being the best German player, to which I honestly can agree. The problem with Mouz is that they are very often a inconsistent team, because they can often rely on their star players, ChrisJ and Nex to perform to a very high standard which often does not happen, especially with ChrisJ. Anywho, their last 3 results have ended in the following:
Cache - 1337 16:6 Mousesports | Cobble - 1337 16:14 Mousesports - July 7th
Mirage - PENTA 2:16 Mousesports | Cache - PENTA 9:16 Mousesports - July 6th
Cache - Titan 9:16 Mousesports | Cobble - Titan 15:19 Mousesports - July 3rd
Honestly Mouz has been quite on fire recently, this month definitely too. They have a 75% winrate this month which is really impressive for a team like them, not dropping maps to anybody they should be defeating, except 1337. They also have been competing with the very top Tier 1 teams which is impressive, Mouz definitely have been making a shout to be a teir 1 team in my opinion. Mouz are one of my favourite teams to place underdog bets on as they are often underrated, however I have a feeling they are going to be heavy overdogs for this which is unfortunate. If Mouz shows up today, I can definitely see them beating HR, especially since it is a BO3.
Hellraisers

So Hellraisers are the complete opposite of Mouz right now, judging by their form. If Mouz is on fire for the last month or so, Hellraisers have really been looking to be struggling hard and slumping for sure which is quite sad to see. There is definitely something that needs doing for HR, as they definitely do not look like their old selves at all. I'm not sure if they want to go back to S1mple, however he seems to be an option right now after raging out at his teammates and stating he will never play with them again. Put their in-game problems aside, they also have out of games problems, with Dosia not even sometimes being able to play due to 'connection issues' causes by some 13 year old child. Their latest 3 results have ended in the following results:
Overpass - HellRaisers 16:2 Acer | Dust2 - HellRaisers 16:10 Acer - July 8th
Inferno - TSM 16:7 HellRaisers | Dust2 - TSM 16:11 HellRaisers - July 8th
Inferno - HellRaisers 16:9 SK | Overpass - HellRaisers 9:16 SK | Train - HellRaisers 12:16 SK
Ok so apart from HR destroying TA on Overpass 16:2, their recent results have not been much to cheer about to be quite honest. They currently have a 47% winrate this month, meaning they lose more than they win so far, which is bad especially since they should be considered a top tier 2 team. Honestly like I said, it is quite worrying and saddening how badly for HR's standards they have been playing. Like I said, I really think they need a roster change, or a bootcamp or something, perhaps picking up S1mple since he is a sick player that can perhaps help them, frag wise atleast. With how HR have been playing, I struggle to see them beating Mouz in a BO3, however we never know.
Conclusion

So honestly, if even Hellraisers beats Mouz here, it will not be the biggest upset in history as they are definitely capable of beating them. They are pretty closely ranked in my opinion, both top tier 2 teams. However because Mouz generally seem to be improving a lot, and are on a better streak of form than HR, aswell as HR just appearing to getting worse I will have to give the advantage to Mouz here. However, if the odds get too ridiculous I would honestly place a low bet on HR, especially since there is still 15 hours to go until the match kicks off. If the odds go below 30% for HR, I will be placing a low bet on them but otherwise, Mouz it is.
Risk level = High
My bet = Waiting for odds
My advice = Wait for odds. Read conclusion
Most likely winner = Mouz
Note: This analysis consists of factual information and my own personal opinion on the matchup mentioned above. Your opinion may differ completely, but this does not make mine nor yours wrong so please don't give me stick for nothing. I am not really responsible for any losses, however if you followed my advice, we both probably got it wrong and I am down to cry in a teamspeak chat with you.
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